Original facebook position can be found here.

New position: You’re up 20 with EFGIINS. What’s the best play?
Last play: QUBIT
Pool is AAACEEEEEEHNNOOORRRTUUZ

In this position, there are quite a few options: FIFE 11b (31), FEIGNS 1d (44), FILING 13i (28), as well as numerous fishing plays (DIF, FIB, FIG, and others). Since you are ahead, you probably don’t want to select any of the fishing plays. They don’t score very well, and while they do hit some bingos, they also give away a fairly high number of bingos, and the reality of the situation is that FIFE is just a much better version of all of them. EGINS is really not a better leave than GINS with this pool, and the extra points of FIFE just really outclasses all of the other fishing plays.

FEIGNS seems to be the thematic play: it closes the blatantly obvious and dangerous row 1, which can be used for scoring and bingos, and scores the most points, potentially even outrunning several bingo options. However, when we look a little deeper, we find this decision to be a bit deceiving. First off, when we look at the tiles in the pool, we discover that row 1 isn’t as good as it first appears, as there really aren’t that many tiles that play in that spot, and thus, not that many bingos fit there either.

Sure, there are some Z plays that go there, but they are only so threatening, especially since we have no way to know they have the Z, and we’ll still be a tempo ahead with endgame timing, an even score, and an S in hand. Sure, there are -ATE bingos, and a few -NT bingos, but other than that, there’s really not a lot that goes in row 1. In fact, when we look at the bingo percentage, we’ll find that FEIGNS doesn’t really do much to stop our opponent from playing a bingo, even in comparison to FIFE:

In addition, although we’ve blocked row 1, we’ve created new bingo lanes that will allow our opponent to fish for bingos even if they missed, and while not all of these bingos win for your opponent, more than enough of them will prove to be a problem. Thus, FEIGNS might be a weaker play that it first appears; there aren’t a large number of threats available.

FILING creates a case S-hook which appears very attractive, although it’s not an incredibly useful hook. Since your goal with FILING is to maintain a lead, you’re not likely to use the S next turn unless you have a balanced scoring rack: a rack that is very likely to win anyway. FILING-S does allow you to counteract an opponent’s bingo, but the vast majority of your wins will come from preventing bingos rather than getting a counter-score or bingo yourself.

However, FILING does have one primary benefit: it blocks more bingos than any other play, both in the short and long run. While columns n and o are not usually threatening, they are threatening in this pool, since row 1 is so weak and the number of vowels make bingos beginning with vowels (or using the T in column o) more likely.

In addition, FILING segregates all of the bingo options into the top left quadrant of the board, making it difficult for your opponent to bingo on future turns. When your opponent does not have a bingo after FILING, they have much worse options: opening another bingo line is difficult and often impractical, and trying to hit one of the alternative bingo lines is extremely difficult. After FEIGNS, they have the option of hitting whatever remains open between columns d and e (or whatever they open on the left side of the board) as well as columns n and o for bingos: discreet bingo lines that cannot be opened simultaneously. This makes FILING a much stronger defensive option than FEIGNS.

Even if the bingo does come down next turn, the game becomes something near a coin flip, because of the potential of column o for big Z plays and bingos. The Z has a lot of potential for ~60 point plays in column o which is quite difficult to block, and FILINGS increases your bingo potential immensely in such a way that you can compete with your opponent by fishing for bingos both in column o and elsewhere on the board, especially as any opponent’s bingo in row 1 will open new bingo lines and space. For these reasons, FILING is a better play than FEIGNS.

A side by side breakdown of FILING vs. FEIGNS in terms of board potential

Finally, we need to compare FILING to FIFE. And it’s close. FIFE clearly results in more bingos for your opponent, but gives you much better options to outrun those bingos. It can outrun your opponent with most Z draws, as your opponent has no firepower after a bingo and a really limited pool.

Despite this board, bingos also occur very, very often: around half of the time. When they don’t occur, you’ll often get another chance, and another, and another. Columns n and o are strong bingo lines as well as the obvious row 1, and even if row 1 is used for an opponent’s bingo, it will create other bingo lines you can use on future turns. Fishing plays also score well, and EGINS scores well enough on the board that a tile like the H can let you abandon ship and outrun most bingos, or score 25 points while still maintaining both scoring and maintaining bingo chances.

Even without a bingo, there are plenty of ways to create new opportunities for future bingos. It’s easy to create an S hook in column o, any bingo in row 1 should allow you to open column a or b, etc. And of course, there’s the overwhelming likelihood that your opponent never gets a bingo down in the first place.

About 60% of the time, we either draw the Z or play a bingo. Thus, we only need to think about what to do the other 40% of the time.

After FILING, we can approximate that we’re just over 90% favorites. About 7% of the time we encounter a bingo immediately or some other devastating play and we’re underdogs, but we’ll still win about 3/7 of those games. Another 2% of the time or so they don’t hit something immediately, but we try to block row 1 and they somehow hit some other big play to win the game. Another 4% of the time we play FILING but we get outrun: either because we draw almost exclusively vowels or because our opponent gets a Z play and balanced racks: while a 48 point lead is safe, it’s not ironclad.

FIFE almost never gets outrun (even Z plays are going to have trouble) so it’s merely an analysis of how often our opponent is going to bingo while we don’t. Since we still win some of the time that the opponent bingos and we don’t, we can thus round and say that we’ll bingo about half of the time next turn, and of the times we don’t bingo next turn, we’ll bingo about half of the time the turn after.

Between this turn and next turn, our opponent should bingo about 20-25% of the time. Our opponent will bingo more often with an additional turn to improve their rack. Of that, about 70-75% of the time, we’ll draw a bingo ourselves. Even if we take the lower half of each scenario (25% and 70%) that still leaves us as a 92.5% favorite after FIFE.

It’s for this reason that I think FIFE is the best play. Even if you tweak the numbers a bit, it’s very hard to get past this conclusion: FILING has a lot of ground to make up, so either FIFE must be worse than ~92.5% or FILING must be better than 91%, and it seems unlikely to me that either is the case in this situation.

You might be wondering: “Okay, so what can I take away from this situation?” Here are the main takeaways:

1. Themes are themes but they need to be ignored from time to time.

2. Especially in CSW, a lot of times you really just need to take the points and leave over the defense. Outrunning is usually better than blocking except for some pretty unique circumstances or unless the sacrifice in points and leave is small.

3. It’s important to look at pools. While row 1 looks immensely dangerous, it’s not because of this pool.

Kenji

Here’s an endgame puzzle that I encountered over the weekend. The position is somewhat similar in both lexica; although there are some minor differences.

What is your best play? How should your opponent counter?

So I get it. You’re on a budget, and books are expensive, and there are so many books you can buy. Which book is the best bang for your buck? As always, the answer is: it depends.

There are two different questions you need to ask yourself.

The first question is your country of residence. Players within the United States and Canada play using the OWL dictionary, while players in the rest of the world use the CSW dictionary.

The second question is your current skill level. Within each lexicon, I’ve written two books.

The first book is dedicated to the fundamentals of Scrabble. This book describes basic techniques that are useful if one wants to win, whether you’re playing casually, with other students, or in the lower division of a tournament. While this book covers the fundamentals, the content is not simplistic: it contains information useful for even the best players.

The second book is dedicated to understanding upper level tournament Scrabble. This book focuses more on technical information and adjustments that you need to make to succeed in tournaments. It focuses on the adjustments necessary based on the score, leave, and board positioning if you want to succeed at tournament Scrabble.

North American school or casual players should read Breaking the Game. This book focuses on fundamental OWL strategy.

North American tournament players should read Words of Wisdom, which focuses on high-level OWL strategy.

International school or casual players should read Word. This book focuses on fundamental CSW strategy.

International tournament players should read Words of Wisdom, which focuses on high-level CSW strategy.

While they don’t show up too often, extensions are one of the more interesting and “cool” components of Scrabble. Players like the aspect of playing long words, and associate a link between word length and stronger anagramming skill and vocabulary.

Sadly, in most cases, extensions are not worth the effort. Usually, extensions don’t score enough points and provide too much counterplay to be considered. However, one common exception is extensions to the opening rack, since these extensions often use the TWS square. Opening rack extensions can often be worth 50 points or more, making these plays worthwhile.

That being said, while extensions are often sweet, lucrative plays when drawn, that does *not* mean that you should fish for them, even if your fishing play has a high likelihood of success. The reason is that extensions just don’t have enough upside. Even if an extension scores, say, 54 points, that’s often just 15-20 points higher than an average turn.

And that’s assuming your opponent doesn’t block, doesn’t make an equivalent setup of their own (setups are a great way to counter extensions fishing) doesn’t make an extension themselves (they have first dibs), AND that you draw your extension (without drawing a better play). When you take all of these things into account, it means that sacrificing a significant amount for an extension is not worth it.

Fishing for extensions, just like fishing for bingos is a bad play unless you have a high likelihood of success and are sacrificing an extremely small amount to do so, and there really aren’t many better options. To illustrate why, let’s take a look at some examples of racks that some experts might choose to fish with, and why doing so is generally a bad idea.

The first thing that you need to do is estimate a worth of extensions. The approximate worth of an extension can be determined by the formula:

Probability of hitting extension x [(Score of extension) – (average points without extension) – worth of leave].

So for example, let’s say you’re looking at playing OXID at 8h keeping DIZ. This will inevitably be either blocked or taken quite often: let’s say 70% of the time, and you’ll draw the E about 40% of the time, so approximately 12% of the time you’ll get to play OXIDIZED next turn. OXIDIZED scores 81 points, the average score is about 39 after OXID, and the worth of the leave is 4, so 0.12(81 – 39 – 4) = ~ 4, meaning that the worth of the extension in that case is about 4 points.

On the opening rack, this ‘Score of extension’ number is often somewhere around 36, although it should be adjusted based on the things that you are opening immediately. On other boards, you may have to adjust the number based on the tiles remaining and openness of the board.

As you can see, most extensions really aren’t worth very much. In addition, there are usually many ways that extensions can lose value: they can be used or blocked, or your opponent can make other setups somewhat freely. Let’s take a look at some examples of situations where people might play an extension but it is not warranted:

Here, you’re drawing to 6 tiles in the bag for MISPRIZE/DISPRIZE, which you will hit approximately 25-30% of the time. This will only be occasionally blocked. That being said, this effect is somewhat small: both plays score about 20-25 more points in average, so the extension is worth about 6 points.

However, this play does have some severe downsides. First of all, PRIZE gives your opponent much better options than ZIP for scoring, resulting in a reduction of 7 or 8 points next turn.

Second of all, you’re severely limiting your bingo potential severely by keeping IS instead of EIRS. This is substantial, especially since bingos will score more than extensions will score next turn. This alone mitigates the potential upside in drawing an extension and then some, since you’re likely to bingo an additional 15% next turn and an additional 10% the turn after. (That alone is worth about 12 points)

When you add in smaller factors (your opponent might extend the word, block DISPRIZE with PRIZER, board shape, etc.) ZIP is a significantly stronger play than PRIZE.

Here, you are drawing 5 tiles drying to hit an E for HONEYDEW, which will happen about 45% of the time. This adds about 15 points to the expected score, so that’s about 7 more points, so the extension doesn’t even make up the difference in score between HOWDY and HONEY, not to mention the difference in leave or defense, both of which are substantial.

In this case, you are giving yourself 5 chances to draw an I, which will happen about 35% of the time. This gives you a play that’s about 25 points higher than average, but since you have the X and S, that amount is narrowed to closer to 12, giving the setup about a 4 point edge, which is honestly about the same as PENNY 8h (+2 and the EX setup). Meanwhile, PYX scores 4 more (negating the setup) but also has massive defensive value (approximately 8 points) while keeping a decent leave (ENNS is about -3 to SX) making PYX a stronger play.

In this case, you are considering sacrificing 4 points to hit the BEMIXING extension. You’re over 50% to draw the E, and BEMIXING scores 60 points, so if it was never blocked, it would definitely be worth it.

The problem is that BEMIXING gets blocked occasionally by overlaps, but more importantly it frequently just gets taken by your opponent first, with extensions such as AD, RE, UN, BE, and IM. This happens over 1/3 of the time, and scores over 50 points, leading to a huge increase in opponent’s score, making the 8c position completely impractical.

In this case, your options are mediocre. On the one hand, you have WORK which scores 22 but keeps ORV, but the other option scores 20 and keeps KOR.

WORK will hit an E fairly often: about 40% of the time. Your opponent has a myriad of extensions, that will hit about 20% of the time, but also will block a decent percentage of the time with parallels over WO: not too often, but more than usual in marginal situations. In addition, your opponent can also make setups in this position, since they know that you have three tiles that are kind of confined to the setup, and that strongly negatively affects your play. (In CSW, they also have AWORK#, completely ruining any semblance of a reasonable position). Each of these factors is only worth a few points, but combined, they accumulate to be more significant than the OVERWORK extension.

While most extensions are not worth fishing for, some definitely are, and they are a factor that can sometimes tip the scale when choosing between two close plays.  Let’s now take a look at when opening rack extensions *are* worth fishing for. As you can see, opening rack extensions are only worth while when the sacrifice is extremely small and/or the reward is overwhelming.

This is a small sacrifice, since TAXING is 8 more but keeps a slightly worse leave. You’re around 50% to hit EXACTING, the A also gives you AX plays if ACTING is blocked, and it rarely will be, and even if blocked, you’re still going to have an X. The setup is worth about 10-11 points, so the 8 point sacrifice is just barely worth it.

COCKSMAN/COCKSMEN scores 57 points and is extremely likely to be drawn, allowing you to hit over 60% of the time, giving you about a 10 point increase, but since it uses the S, it’s closer to only a 5 point increase, since the average is about 45 with S plays. In this case, your sacrifice isn’t actually in points, but defense, especially the Y hook, and there’s only 2 Ys in the bag. (COCKS still gives you COCKSM_N). While this is significant and Y plays score a lot, it’s not enough to compensate for the potential upside in setup.

In this case, while you’re giving up bingo potential, you’re maintaining the C which is such a valuable tile for extensions to ZONES (ECOTONES, CANZONES, and CALZONES) and scoring an additional 18 points. On future turns you can keep the Z, and the OZONES hook actually helps you get ECOZONES down, which makes the extension even more lucrative, making it very likely that you’re going to get a 50+ point play with the C in addition to the additional 18 points this turn. This pushes ZONES to be a slightly better play than COZ, but even still it’s only by a few points. In this case, the worth of the extension is more valuable, since it’s likely to be recurring.

In this case, you’re only sacrificing a meager 2 points for the prospect of an A draw, which will happen over 1/3 of the time for ANNEXING. Although this isn’t a huge factor, it outweighs the 2 points that you are sacrificing.

In this case, DIGIT is a strong play not just because of the DIGITIZE extension, which you are likely to draw, but also because of ZIG for 33 as a strong backup play, clearing the rack. Thus, it’s not only the extension that is appealing: you also have a secondary option in addition to the prospects of the 5 tile draw. Although the extension is only worth 5 or so points, when you add in the ZIG possibility it overtakes ZITI as a potential option.

Hopefully, this guide will serve as a template for helping players understand when they should and should not play extensions, especially on the opening rack.

You’re in a close game with one of the best players in the world. Your rack is BEEMOTY. You’re down 281-291, and your opponent has just taken 2 minutes and then played WO 14b for 10 points. Your last play was HAO, and before that, they exchanged 6. The pool is AAABCDDEEEEFFJLLLNNOORRRUUVXY.  What is your play? I’ve attached a GCG: Feel free to use Quackle if you want, but again, please do not use Championship Player.

First, if you have not done so, please look at part 1 of this series below (as that is extremely relevant to this position) and make your play selection! Again, while the lessons in these diagrams are geared towards experts, the themes and strategy can also be understood by lower rated players.After YEP has been played, you seem to be in good shape. You’re now up and you’ve got the T for TWO, and you’re sweating a bingo from the I. Your opponent doesn’t bingo. Then, in another plot twist, your top player decides to make another baffling move, blocking the I, and making another T setup!

So the previous positions have been more complicated, and I want to start doing simpler positions that are more accessible to more players, while still illustrating useful Scrabble concepts. The next few positions are going to be a bit more basic: they will be positions with a clear best play, but still not so obvious that I think everyone will make the correct decision.Find the best play!

AFTERPARTY
AGRONOMICS
AIRBALL(S)
AKITA(S)
ANAGRAMMER(S)
APESHIT
ASIAGO(S)
BARCODE(S)
BACKSCRATCHER(S)
BASELESSNESS
BEARHUGGING
BEATBOXER(S)
BINK(S)
BIRTHDATE(S)
BLIMPED/ING
BOTTARGA(S)
BOTTLENOSE(S)
BRACHIOSAURUS
BREATHALYZER(S)
BROCCOLINI(S)
BUCATINI
BUKKAKE(S)
BUZZSAW(S)
CANISTERED
CANNELONI
CAPITULATOR
CARAMELIZATION
CHLAMYDIAS
CLIFFHANGER(S)
CLOCKMAKER(S)
CLOWNFISH(ES)
CONFIGURATE(D/S)
CONMAN(MEN)
CONNOTATE(D/S)
CONSERVABLE
CONSIDERER(S)
CONVO(S)
COORDINANCE(S)
COSPLAY(S)
COUNTERFACTUALS
COURSEWORK
CROSSCHECK(S)
CROWDSOURCE(D/S)
CURVATE
CYBERSQUATTING
DAUGHTERHOOD
DAYCATION(S)
DAZZLEMENT(S)
DEALMAKER(S)
DECALITRE(S)
DESERVINGLY
EGGIER(EST)
ELDERFLOWER
EMOJI(S)
EQUIDISTANCE
FAIRYTALE
FEIJOADA(S)
FIDGETIER
FIREWOMAN
FISHCAKE
FLAMBEES
FORTHCOMINGNESS
FREEFALL
FREESTYLING
FRONTERS
FRONTRUNNER(S)
FUNDRAISER(S)
GOALWARDS

HARDLINER(S)
HEADCASE(S)
HUCKED/ING
HUMIDER/EST
HUSBANDLIKE
ICONIZE(D/S)
IMMERSIVE
INCREDULOUSNESS
INOPERABLY
JOBSEEKER(S)
KAKURO(S)
KITEBOARD(S)
KNEEJERK
KRYPTONITE
LOCOMOBILE(S)
MANCALA(S)
MANKINI(S)
MATCHPLAY
MATERNALISTIC
MERFOLK
MILF(S)
MILLEFEUILLE
MINOTAUR
MISTAKENNESS
MODDING/ED
MOONCAKE
MOTORCOACH
MUPPET
NADS
NAMASTE
NAMECHECK(S)
NEGRO(ES)
NIGHTWATCHMAN/MEN
NIGIRI(S)
NUCLEARIZATION(S)
NUCLEIC
NUCLEIDE(S)
NUNHOOD(S)
NUTJOB(S)
OBJECTIVIZE(D/S)
ONESIE(S)
OVERHIT(S)
OVERRIPEN(S)
PANKO(S)
PAYPHONE
PEGASUS
PHOTOSENSOR(S)
PIXELLATE(D/S)
PORCHETTA(S)
POSTERIZE(D/S)
PUBE
PULSOMETER(S)
QUADRUPLEX(ES)
QUIDDITCH
RAINFOREST(S)
RECLOSE(D/S)
REDEAL(T/S)
REFOREST(S)
REPOST(ED/S)
REWRITABLE
RIGHTABLE
ROLLERBLADE(S)
ROLLERCOASTER(S)
RUBICON(S)

SEMIFREDDO(S)
SANDCASTLE(S)
SCRAPBOOKING
SCREENSAVER(S)
SEXUALIZATION
SHELLSHOCKED
SHISO(S)
SHROOMED
SILKSCREEN
SINEWIER
SKIMBOARDING
SKINCARE
SKINSUIT
SKYR(S)
SMOKESCREEN(S)
SPAZZED/ING
SPELLCHECK(S)
SPORK(S)
STEAKHOUSE(S)
STRONGARM(S/ED)
SUPLEX(ES)
SYRAH(S)
TAGLESS
TAILORESS
TARTINE
TASERED/ING
TEABAG(S)
TIGERWOOD(S)
TIMESHARE(S)
TIMESTAMP(S)
TOOLKIT(S)
TOYBOX(ES)
TRAMPOLINED
TRANSITIVES
TRILLIONAIRE
TRIMETHYL
TWERK(S)
UNADVISABLE
UNCHECK(S)
UNDISCERNING
UNFOLLOW
UNFORGIVEN
VAPE(S)
VINTAGED
VIRALITY
VUVUZELA
WAGYU
WANG
WATERMILL
WAVEFRONT
WEIGHTLIFTER
WEIGHTLIFTING
WELLINGTON
WHISTLEBLOWING
WIDESCREEN
WONDEROUS
WOODCARVER
WOODCARVING
WRAPOVER
YANKEE(S)
YELLOWNESS
ZIPLINE(S)
ZOOT(S)
ZORBING

Anagrams is a word-finding game using two or more sets of Scrabble tiles.  In anagrams, you can do either two things: Grab a 7+ letter word using the pool of tiles in the middle, or steal an already existing word using the tiles remaining in the pool.

For example, if EHIMORSVZ is in the pool, someone could form the word HEROISM.  The pool would then become VZ.  If the next tiles are I and P, someone could steal HEROISM with IMPOVERISH, leaving a Z in the pool.

With the blanks, you can either form a 9+ letter word in the pool, or steal but also using at least 2 other tiles in the pool.  Thus, to steal a 7 letter word using a blank, the steal must be at least 10 letters long.

Clabbers is Scrabble with one basic rule change: any word that is an anagram of a valid word is also playable!  For example, not only is the word FUN valid, but so is FNU, UFN, UNF, NFU, and NUF!  This allows for many more overlaps, extensions, bingos, and significantly higher scores as you get to play long words with ease and show off your word-finding ability!

Rather than a competitive game, Phoneyz is a somewhat cooperative game where the objective is to play the raunchiest or most hilarious “words” imaginable that you can find. (Phoneyz is generally not a competitive game: dictionaries are not used.) An additional rule is that any blank on the board can be replaced by the letter it is designated for, allowing for an infinite number of turns where blanks can be used in one’s rack.

Players can also add strip variants or other variants to this game, adding instructions (i.e. take off a piece of clothing whenever someone plays anything alluding to stripping)

Hey guys! For those of you interested in following, I’ve decided to make a brief description of the players to watch in this year’s National Scrabble Championship. Enjoy!

Probably the consensus favorite to win the tournament, with the highest rating and most experience out of anyone in big events. Many of the top players in this event have limited experience dealing with Gibson’s unique style, and he has unprecedented results against the 1800-1900 range, which consist of the majority of this field.

Question Marks: Can he adapt to players who have seen his style through annotation? Can he hold it together at the end of the tournament?

My pick to win the tournament. Ranked #2, with excellent results at the last three Nationals, and probably the most technically sound player in the tournament. Will is able to play a multitude of styles, has a good matchup with every player in the field, and has been the most consistent player over the last few years.

 

Question Marks: Hasn’t been playing a lot lately. Doesn’t have the name recognition as some other top players, and as such might not incite the same number of mistakes as other top players.

Probably the sentimental favorite to win the tournament, as Mack’s not even in college yet, and many of us remember Mack from his days as an innocent School Scrabble player. Likely the best word knowledge in the entire tournament and the highest ISC rating, Mack’s fast speed and extremely aggressive play style combine with his youth and stamina will make him a force to be reckoned with.

 

Question Marks: Expectations for Mack have never been higher, as this is the first Nationals he’s been considered a sizable favorite, as well as likely the crowd favorite. How will he deal with the pressure?

The defending National Champion. Enough said. Can he repeat?

Jesse burst onto the scene about 5 years ago, having one of the sickest years ever recorded in Scrabble history.  Since then, he has finished in the top 10 in the last 5 straight Nationals and a runner-up last year, Jesse Day has to be considered a major contender for any Nationals he enters.  But with Kings Cup a month prior and Lille looming, is he focused on the American lexicon?

Rafi hasn’t played many tournaments as of late, instead choosing to devote more of his game-playing efforts towards poker.  When Rafi’s on point, he’s one of the strongest and scariest players in the field, and can go an entire day without making major errors.  Rafi has an extremely strong technical understanding of Scrabble, capable of playing various styles and adjusting his style based on the situation.

While he might not have the same name recognition, Orry has been recently trying to rededicate himself to Scrabble, and has one of the most strategic and analytical minds in the game, with the ability to be a winning player at games such as poker and Magic in addition to Scrabble.  Even though he has some tough matchups, he still has some of the best results of any player in the field.

Infamous for his depiction in the hit book Word Freak, the former National Champion has a setup-heavy style that plays well in the current metagame, and has been in strong contention for most of the recent Nationals. Can he finally break through?

Currently the 4th seed, having won 14 tournaments in the last year. His fast, aggressive style makes him extremely difficult to deal with, and he tends to cram studying in before Nationals. Can he manage to overcome his head-to-head struggles against other, tactical top players?

Jason’s probably the most unknown of the contenders who can win Nationals, making him a likely candidate to sneak up out of nowhere, although he was in strong contention at Buffalo in 2014. Perhaps one of the most analytical players out there. Can he finally break through and win in a major Division 1 field?

After a few year slump, Scott’s finally starting to regain his form with a strong performance in Atlanta, not to mention numerous BAT premiers and four top 10s at prior Nationals. While he doesn’t have the name recognition or overwhelming personality of the other top players, he’s still a major threat to win.

By far the most decorated Nationals player in the field, with 3 titles and many other 2nd and 3rd place finishes, not to mention countless other tournaments and over $100,000 in career earnings.  While he finished 6th last year, he hasn’t finished in the top 10 before then since 2005.  Does he still have what it takes to win?

A strong Thai player with amazing fundamentals, Panupol finished 4th at last year’s Nationals, not to mention having a 2-0 lead in the 2005 best of 5 Nationals against eventual champion Dave Wiegand and a World Scrabble Championship title.  Could a Thai finally win a Nationals?